Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.432425 5.575376e-01 0.693190 0.849254 1.022085 1.206082 1.415314
2025-05-04 0.284817 4.575747e-01 0.663831 0.918817 1.217729 1.550598 1.943468
2025-05-11 0.207316 3.993950e-01 0.646061 0.965938 1.354043 1.797310 2.330920
2025-05-18 0.139499 3.346089e-01 0.606252 0.975616 1.438214 1.978407 2.639637
2025-05-25 0.074700 2.512769e-01 0.525953 0.921359 1.434390 2.047714 2.811372
2025-06-01 0.032116 1.819234e-01 0.450791 0.862723 1.416499 2.093510 2.949789
2025-06-08 0.011922 1.394277e-01 0.406262 0.838511 1.436847 2.181318 3.134254
2025-06-15 0.004240 1.190947e-01 0.393434 0.856264 1.509855 2.332567 3.393813
2025-06-22 0.000193 9.329777e-02 0.364843 0.847067 1.544407 2.434004 3.591594
2025-06-29 NaN 6.840969e-02 0.330806 0.825390 1.559212 2.508530 3.754935
2025-07-06 NaN 6.338214e-02 0.337395 0.867083 1.661138 2.694020 4.054836
2025-07-13 NaN 6.095657e-02 0.349261 0.917073 1.774620 2.894440 4.373399
2025-07-20 NaN 5.793009e-02 0.361014 0.970364 1.898035 3.114467 4.725185
2025-07-27 NaN 6.106999e-02 0.389094 1.052097 2.063497 3.391108 5.150181
2025-08-03 NaN 5.714600e-02 0.397780 1.100694 2.181372 3.605596 5.497348
2025-08-10 NaN 4.632411e-02 0.384920 1.111586 2.244792 3.749007 5.755829
2025-08-17 NaN 2.635115e-02 0.334615 1.053281 2.205766 3.756690 5.843046
2025-08-24 NaN 1.176191e-02 0.285271 0.990330 2.156059 3.747590 5.906934
2025-08-31 NaN 5.261675e-03 0.257877 0.964272 2.158605 3.805894 6.054187
2025-09-07 NaN 3.327018e-03 0.254021 0.983377 2.229170 3.955281 6.317343
2025-09-14 NaN 9.805392e-04 0.236585 0.973482 2.254475 4.043096 6.501502
2025-09-21 NaN 2.607964e-06 0.213929 0.950147 2.257629 4.100027 6.645466
2025-09-28 NaN 2.990902e-08 0.223031 0.995011 2.367694 4.302973 6.977515